Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.114182 0.173721 0.243412 0.328447 0.427210 0.536472 0.664800
2025-12-07 0.037994 0.101617 0.194244 0.323596 0.488627 0.683972 0.925667
2025-12-14 0.009287 0.060508 0.156785 0.307731 0.513734 0.768314 1.093055
2025-12-21 0.002250 0.047817 0.154680 0.335363 0.591665 0.915755 1.335606
2025-12-28 0.000092 0.038883 0.154503 0.362906 0.667516 1.059274 1.572459
2026-01-04 NaN 0.028771 0.147495 0.377464 0.724164 1.177621 1.778057
2026-01-11 NaN 0.026151 0.155231 0.414968 0.812589 1.336865 2.034606
2026-01-18 NaN 0.021963 0.157306 0.442321 0.886303 1.476991 2.267513
2026-01-25 NaN 0.014497 0.146424 0.445740 0.924574 1.570187 2.441292
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005193 0.118762 0.414874 0.909939 1.591692 2.523237
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000425 0.089818 0.374920 0.877740 1.587050 2.569848
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.075972 0.361717 0.884674 1.634122 2.681801
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.071783 0.370284 0.928499 1.735602 2.869439
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.062706 0.365886 0.951177 1.808220 3.020571
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.049988 0.348731 0.950978 1.847521 3.127004
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.054586 0.378291 1.029846 1.999232 3.382249
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.059076 0.407617 1.108445 2.150743 3.637482
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.058661 0.423104 1.163495 2.268844 3.848706
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.066775 0.462913 1.260323 2.446747 4.139436
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.071058 0.491889 1.338716 2.598506 4.395746
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.066473 0.495507 1.373710 2.688425 4.570266
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.050650 0.462813 1.344713 2.685949 4.621568
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.034301 0.420398 1.295500 2.652393 4.629971